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U.S. Treasury Yields Drop Amid Recession and Inflation Fears

3/13/2025

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Story summary
  • U.S. Treasury yields are likely to stay stable due to recession fears and inflation from tariffs.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield has decreased by nearly 60 basis points since mid-January, now at approximately 4.20%.
  • Over 75% of bond strategists foresee lower yields in the next three months.
  • Soft economic data is shaping expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end.
  • Germany's new fiscal policies are affecting global bond markets, leading to notable sell-offs in German Bunds.