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Atlanta Fed Forecasts 2.8% GDP Drop Amid Trade Uncertainty

3/20/2025

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Summary

Story summary

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model predicts a 2.8% contraction in U.S. GDP for Q1 2025, signaling potential economic decline.
Trade uncertainties and tariffs from the Trump administration are impacting economic stability.
Canadian markets face recession risks, while U.S. markets remain cautiously optimistic before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
European markets show mixed results, with adjusted inflation forecasts in Sweden and stabilized prices in Russia.
Analysts foresee varied S&P 500 outcomes for 2025, indicating differing perspectives on economic growth.

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Story summary

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model predicts a 2.8% contraction in U.S. GDP for Q1 2025, signaling potential economic decline.
Trade uncertainties and tariffs from the Trump administration are impacting economic stability.
Canadian markets face recession risks, while U.S. markets remain cautiously optimistic before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
European markets show mixed results, with adjusted inflation forecasts in Sweden and stabilized prices in Russia.
Analysts foresee varied S&P 500 outcomes for 2025, indicating differing perspectives on economic growth.