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Asteroid 2024 YR4 Collision Risk Plummets to Under 0.01%

3/28/2025

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Summary

Story summary

Astronomers have dramatically lowered the risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth in 2032 to under 0.01%, a significant drop from 3.1%. While this cosmic wanderer won't strike, its connection with Jupiter ensures it will return. In contrast, asteroid 887 Alinda remains a looming danger, with the potential for global extinction if its path shifts.

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Story summary

Astronomers have dramatically lowered the risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth in 2032 to under 0.01%, a significant drop from 3.1%. While this cosmic wanderer won't strike, its connection with Jupiter ensures it will return. In contrast, asteroid 887 Alinda remains a looming danger, with the potential for global extinction if its path shifts.