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IMF Warns: 45% Recession Risk as US Growth Plummets

4/26/2025

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Summary

Story summary

The IMF cautions about possible market corrections amid rising US recession risks, estimating chances at 45% from Goldman Sachs and 60% from JPMorgan.
The IMF revised its US growth forecast down to 1.8%, marking the largest decline among G7 nations.
The S&P 500 has fallen 12% since February, with potential for further drops if a recession materializes.
Investors should consider diversifying into Yen, Swiss Franc, gold, and short-dated US Treasury Inflation-protected securities.

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Story summary

The IMF cautions about possible market corrections amid rising US recession risks, estimating chances at 45% from Goldman Sachs and 60% from JPMorgan.
The IMF revised its US growth forecast down to 1.8%, marking the largest decline among G7 nations.
The S&P 500 has fallen 12% since February, with potential for further drops if a recession materializes.
Investors should consider diversifying into Yen, Swiss Franc, gold, and short-dated US Treasury Inflation-protected securities.