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Study Links Overconfidence to Conspiracy Theory Beliefs

6/16/2025

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Summary

Story summary

A Cornell University study of 4,181 participants reveals a striking link between belief in conspiracy theories and overconfidence in one’s cognitive skills. Many participants not only overestimated their abilities but also believed others shared their views. This "false consensus effect" was particularly pronounced among the most overconfident, highlighting their disconnect from mainstream beliefs.

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Story summary

A Cornell University study of 4,181 participants reveals a striking link between belief in conspiracy theories and overconfidence in one’s cognitive skills. Many participants not only overestimated their abilities but also believed others shared their views. This "false consensus effect" was particularly pronounced among the most overconfident, highlighting their disconnect from mainstream beliefs.