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JD Vance Leads 2028 Presidential Race Odds at 27%

7/20/2025

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Summary

Story summary

JD Vance is emerging as a frontrunner for the 2028 presidential election, boasting a 27% chance of victory, as revealed by Polymarket. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails with 14%, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg hold 10% and 8%, respectively. Other notable contenders include Marco Rubio at 6% and Josh Shapiro at 5%, with Trump lingering at 3%.

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Story summary

JD Vance is emerging as a frontrunner for the 2028 presidential election, boasting a 27% chance of victory, as revealed by Polymarket. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails with 14%, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg hold 10% and 8%, respectively. Other notable contenders include Marco Rubio at 6% and Josh Shapiro at 5%, with Trump lingering at 3%.