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Climate Change GDP Loss Estimate Slashed from 62% to 23%

8/8/2025

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Summary

Story summary

A recent analysis has uncovered critical errors in a 2024 Nature paper that forecasted a staggering 62% GDP loss by 2100 due to climate change. After correcting data from Uzbekistan, the estimate was dramatically lowered to 23%. The Potsdam Institute stresses the importance of transparency in scientific research, highlighting the ongoing threat of significant economic damages.

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Story summary

A recent analysis has uncovered critical errors in a 2024 Nature paper that forecasted a staggering 62% GDP loss by 2100 due to climate change. After correcting data from Uzbekistan, the estimate was dramatically lowered to 23%. The Potsdam Institute stresses the importance of transparency in scientific research, highlighting the ongoing threat of significant economic damages.