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Story perspectives

July Market Surge: Tariffs, Fed Rates, and OBBBA Impact

8/13/2025

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Story summary
  • July's key themes were tariffs, Federal Reserve policy, and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA).
  • The FOMC maintained the federal funds rate, with stable inflation and job data causing a 16 basis point rise in Treasury yields.
  • The muni market thrived under OBBBA, preserving tax exemptions and experiencing robust reinvestment activity.
  • Muni yields steepened, with 5-year yields decreasing by 20 bps and longer yields increasing, widening the 1-30 year maturity gap by 37 bps.