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Story perspectives

UK Faces Economic Forecast Crisis Amid Data Quality Issues

8/22/2025

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Story summary
  • The UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) is experiencing data quality issues affecting economic forecasts for the autumn budget.
  • The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) cautions that these issues may result in fiscal errors by Chancellor Rachel Reeves.
  • Economists highlight inadequate labor market data due to low survey response rates following COVID-19.
  • The ONS faces pressure to enhance data collection methods with new leadership.