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No-Confidence Motions Loom Over Ursula von der Leyen Following State of the Union Address

9/11/2025, 4:51:28 AM

Political Context and Core Event

On September 10, 2025, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen delivered her State of the Union address in Strasbourg, amidst significant political tension and criticism from various factions within the European Parliament. Following her speech, both the far-right Patriots for Europe (PfE) and the far-left group announced plans to file no-confidence motions against her. This marks a continuation of political fragmentation within the EU, as the last no-confidence vote occurred just two months prior.

Key Figures and Groups

Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, faces scrutiny from both the PfE, co-founded by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, and the Left group, which includes members from various political affiliations. The PfE's leadership, including President Jordan Bardella and first vice-president Kinga Gál, has been vocal about their dissatisfaction, stating that the Commission has failed on critical issues such as trade, migration, and peace. The Left group, led by co-chair Manon Aubry, has focused its criticism on the Commission's inaction regarding the ongoing conflict in Gaza.

Motions of No Confidence

Both groups are set to submit their motions at midnight on September 10, 2025, with the PfE claiming to have gathered 85 signatures, surpassing the 72 required to initiate the process. If either motion passes, von der Leyen and her Commission would be compelled to resign. However, analysts suggest that the likelihood of success is low, given her majority support in Parliament. The motions are seen as a strategic move to extract concessions from von der Leyen's centrist allies, similar to the previous motion of censure in July.

Official Statements and Responses

In her State of the Union address, von der Leyen acknowledged the challenges facing the EU, emphasizing the need for unity among member states. She stated, “Europe is in a fight,” and outlined proposals for sanctions against Israel and increased support for Ukraine. However, her proposals were met with skepticism. Manon Aubry criticized her for insufficient action, stating, “Faced with genocide there can’t be half measures.” Similarly, Kinga Gál articulated that the Commission has failed on multiple fronts, including trade and migration.

Criticism and Opposition

Critics from both the far-right and far-left have expressed that von der Leyen's leadership has led to a weakened EU. The PfE's motion highlights a lack of transparency and accountability, particularly regarding the Mercosur and U.S. trade agreements. The Left group has condemned the Commission's response to the Gaza conflict as inadequate, arguing that the proposed measures are too late and lack the necessary impact.

Conflicting Reports and Gaps

While the motions are expected to be debated and voted on in October, there is a notable division among EU member states regarding the response to the Gaza conflict. Countries like Spain, Belgium, and Ireland advocate for stricter measures against Israel, while others, including Germany and Hungary, oppose such actions. This division complicates the EU's ability to present a unified front.

What's Next

The no-confidence motions will be formally submitted and assessed for validity, with a debate and potential vote anticipated in October. The outcome could significantly impact von der Leyen's presidency and the future direction of the European Commission, as political factions continue to grapple with pressing issues facing the EU.