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Shifts in Family Office Investment Strategies Amid Geopolitical Concerns

9/11/2025, 8:37:33 PM

Overview of Current Investment Trends

A recent survey conducted by Goldman Sachs reveals significant shifts in the investment strategies of family offices, particularly in response to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. The survey, which included 245 family office decision-makers globally, indicates that family offices have increased their allocations to public equities while reducing their commitments to private equity. Specifically, the average allocation to public equities rose from 28% in 2023 to 31% in 2025, while private equity allocations dropped from 26% to 21%.

Key Findings from the Survey

Family offices in the Americas exhibited the most pronounced shift, raising their average allocation to public equities from 27% to 31%. Despite the decline in private equity investments, 39% of family offices plan to increase their allocations to this asset class in the coming year. The survey also highlighted that 86% of respondents are invested in artificial intelligence (AI), with many viewing it as a critical area for future growth.

Geopolitical Risks and Investment Strategies

Geopolitical risks, including the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Gaza Strip, as well as tensions between the U.S. and China, were cited as significant concerns by family offices. Approximately 61% of respondents identified geopolitical conflict as a primary investment risk. However, these concerns have not deterred family offices from maintaining a "pro-risk asset mix," as described by Tony Pasquariello, global head of hedge fund coverage at Goldman Sachs. Family offices are leveraging their long-term investment horizons to navigate market volatility, allowing them to capitalize on opportunities that arise during downturns.

Criticism and Opposition

Despite the optimism among family offices, some critics argue that the focus on public equities may expose these entities to heightened market volatility. Concerns regarding inflation and potential economic recessions could impact the performance of these investments. Additionally, the shift away from private equity may limit access to potentially lucrative long-term investments, as noted by industry experts.

Official Statements & Responses

Sara Naison-Tarajano, leader of Goldman Sachs' Apex family office business, emphasized the importance of staying invested during turbulent times. She stated, "Family offices tend to invest opportunistically when other market players retreat," highlighting their ability to act decisively in uncertain markets. Meena Flynn, co-head of global private wealth management at Goldman Sachs, noted that family offices are increasingly interested in private credit, with the proportion of those without exposure dropping from 36% to 26% since 2023.

What's Next for Family Offices?

Looking ahead, family offices are expected to continue adapting their strategies in response to evolving market conditions. Many plan to maintain or increase their allocations to both public and private equity, reflecting a broader trend of seeking diversification and resilience in their portfolios. As geopolitical dynamics continue to shape investment landscapes, family offices will likely remain vigilant in monitoring these factors to inform their decision-making processes.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “Family offices have shown extraordinary consistency in their investment approach despite expressing concerns about geopolitical tensions and protectionist trade policies,” — Meena Flynn, Co-head of Global Private Wealth Management, Goldman Sachs
  • “If they're concerned about these things, they're going to be ready to put money to work when these dislocations happen.” — Sara Naison-Tarajano, Leader of Goldman Sachs' Apex Family Office Business
  • “That really comes down to this realization from family offices that the only way to grow and preserve your wealth and preserve your purchasing power over time is to beat inflation,” — Sara Naison-Tarajano, Goldman Sachs

This analysis underscores the evolving landscape of family office investments, characterized by a strategic pivot towards public equities and a cautious approach to private equity amid geopolitical uncertainties.