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UBS CEO Warns Tariffs Complicate Fed Rate Predictions

9/12/2025

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Story summary
  • UBS Group CEO Sergio Ermotti noted the unclear impact of global tariffs on the U.S. economy, complicating Federal Reserve policy predictions.
  • He stressed the importance of evaluating tariffs' potential inflationary effects on consumers.
  • Investment banks forecast three 25-basis point interest rate cuts by year-end, with one expected after the Fed meeting on September 16-17.
  • Ermotti described a bifurcated global economy influenced by technology and traditional sectors.
  • He reaffirmed UBS's commitment to its Swiss presence and completing the Credit Suisse integration by next year.