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Story summary
- Local elections in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, are scheduled for Sunday, serving as a crucial test for Chancellor Friedrich Merz's Christian Democratic Union (CDU).
- The far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) party is projected to gain around 16% support, an increase from previous elections.
- The CDU is expected to secure about 35% of the vote, despite a decline in backing.
- The Social Democrats may struggle in former strongholds as blue-collar workers consider the AfD.
- Analysts foresee the AfD winning mayoralties in cities like Gelsenkirchen, with a runoff election set for September 28.
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