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50% Chance of Tropical Depression Heading for Caribbean

9/15/2025

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Story summary
  • A tropical wave near western Africa has a 50% chance of developing into a tropical depression next week.
  • Dry air and Saharan dust currently hinder development, but conditions may improve by mid-next week.
  • The system is likely to move north toward the Caribbean, potentially impacting Puerto Rico and nearby islands next weekend.
  • Despite a lull in hurricane activity this season, forecasters caution that more than half of the season remains.
  • The Central American Gyre is under observation for possible storm formation, which could bring heavy rainfall to Central America.