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New York Fed Survey Plummets, Sparks Economic Concerns

9/16/2025

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Story summary
  • Peter Berezin notes a 20-point decline in the New York Fed's September manufacturing survey, raising economic stability concerns despite a strong stock market.
  • The survey's volatility necessitates careful economic signal analysis.
  • The general conditions index fell to negative 8.7 from positive 11.9, indicating a sharp drop in manufacturing activity.
  • New orders and shipments declined significantly, with indices at negative 19.6 and negative 17.3, respectively.
  • Employment levels remained stable, but price indices decreased, and future business conditions reflect subdued optimism.