Story perspectives

Traders Remain Hopeful Amid Weak Labor Market Indicators

9/21/2025

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Summary

Story summary

Traders at the New York Stock Exchange expressed optimism on September 17, 2025, about the US economy avoiding a recession, despite a weak labor market.
Payroll growth has remained below 100,000 jobs per month for four months, often indicating recession.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics revised job additions downward by 911,000 for the past year.
Economist Albert Edwards cites a Moody's model indicating a 48% chance of recession.
Initial unemployment claims remain low, and the Fed has cut interest rates to stimulate the economy.

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Story summary

Traders at the New York Stock Exchange expressed optimism on September 17, 2025, about the US economy avoiding a recession, despite a weak labor market.
Payroll growth has remained below 100,000 jobs per month for four months, often indicating recession.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics revised job additions downward by 911,000 for the past year.
Economist Albert Edwards cites a Moody's model indicating a 48% chance of recession.
Initial unemployment claims remain low, and the Fed has cut interest rates to stimulate the economy.