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Asteroid 2024 YR4: 4% Moon Impact Risk by 2032

9/23/2025

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Summary

Story summary

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 4% chance of impacting the Moon in December 2032.
NASA's Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mission nudged another asteroid; deflecting 2024 YR4 is uncertain due to unknown mass and composition.
Options include kinetic disruption or nuclear detonation to address 2024 YR4.
Reconnaissance could launch in late 2028; nuclear-disruption window 2029–2031; budget constraints may hinder NASA.

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Story summary

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 4% chance of impacting the Moon in December 2032.
NASA's Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mission nudged another asteroid; deflecting 2024 YR4 is uncertain due to unknown mass and composition.
Options include kinetic disruption or nuclear detonation to address 2024 YR4.
Reconnaissance could launch in late 2028; nuclear-disruption window 2029–2031; budget constraints may hinder NASA.