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Wall Street Optimism Amid Rising Recession Risks in 2025

9/23/2025

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Summary

Story summary

In 2025, Wall Street remains optimistic about the U.S. economy.
Optimism persists despite signs of labor weakness and slower payroll growth.
Payroll growth slowed; job creation under 100,000 for four months.
Moody's Analytics puts recession probability at 48%; Albert Edwards warns rising risk.
Danielle DiMartino Booth says a 'plain vanilla recession' may exist; advisors should prepare for various outcomes.

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Story summary

In 2025, Wall Street remains optimistic about the U.S. economy.
Optimism persists despite signs of labor weakness and slower payroll growth.
Payroll growth slowed; job creation under 100,000 for four months.
Moody's Analytics puts recession probability at 48%; Albert Edwards warns rising risk.
Danielle DiMartino Booth says a 'plain vanilla recession' may exist; advisors should prepare for various outcomes.