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Story perspectives

Hawai‘i Faces Recession Amid Visitor Decline and Job Losses

9/27/2025

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Story summary
  • University of Hawai‘i Economic Research Organization (UHERO) projects a recession in Hawai‘i, driven by trade policies and inflation.
  • Visitor spending declines; 8% drop in arrivals from April to July, Maui gains reversed.
  • Construction remains robust, driven by federal contracts and public projects, with tariff risks.
  • Low-income households reliant on tourism face job losses; SNAP/Medicaid cuts; food banks report 160,000 served.