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Asteroid 2024 YR4: 4% Moon Impact Risk by 2032

9/29/2025

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Summary

Story summary

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered December 2024, has a 4% Moon-impact risk on December 22, 2032, with no Earth threat.
Refined tracking rules out Earth impact.
Two nuclear devices could disrupt the asteroid; they'd be five to eight times Hiroshima/Nagasaki.
Artemis II, set for April 2026, will collect asteroid data during a 2028 close flyby and test lunar systems.

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Story summary

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered December 2024, has a 4% Moon-impact risk on December 22, 2032, with no Earth threat.
Refined tracking rules out Earth impact.
Two nuclear devices could disrupt the asteroid; they'd be five to eight times Hiroshima/Nagasaki.
Artemis II, set for April 2026, will collect asteroid data during a 2028 close flyby and test lunar systems.