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U.S. GDP Growth Forecasts Up Amid Inflation Challenges

10/14/2025

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Summary

Story summary

National Association for Business Economics (NABE) forecasts U.S. GDP growth at 1.8% for 2025, up from 1.3% in June, despite tariffs and inflation.
Economists expect inflation to average 3% this year, declining to 2.5% by 2026.
Job growth remains weak and the unemployment rate will rise to 4.5% next year.
Business investment is projected to increase by 3.8% in 2025.
Residential investment is expected to contract by 1.6% this year.

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Story summary

National Association for Business Economics (NABE) forecasts U.S. GDP growth at 1.8% for 2025, up from 1.3% in June, despite tariffs and inflation.
Economists expect inflation to average 3% this year, declining to 2.5% by 2026.
Job growth remains weak and the unemployment rate will rise to 4.5% next year.
Business investment is projected to increase by 3.8% in 2025.
Residential investment is expected to contract by 1.6% this year.