Story perspectives

Independent Connolly Leads Presidential Race Amid Voter Uncertainty

10/17/2025

Summary

Story summary

Independent presidential candidate Catherine Connolly leads the race with 38% support, nearly double Fine Gael's Heather Humphreys at 20%.
Jim Gavin, who has withdrawn from the campaign, holds 5%.
Connolly emphasized her canvassing commitment, stating, "Polls don’t win elections."
The Irish Times/Ipsos B&A poll shows 18% undecided, 12% will not vote, and 6% intend to spoil their ballots, with voting on October 24, 2025 amid concerns about representation.

History

Historical Context

The Irish presidential election has evolved significantly since Michael D. Higgins' 2011 victory with 39.6% of the vote. The upcoming 2025 election features Catherine Connolly leading with 38%, reflecting a shift towards independent candidates amid growing discontent with traditional parties like Fine Gael. This trend indicates a potential long-term transformation in Ireland's political landscape, emphasizing the need for parties to address voter concerns effectively.

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Story summary

Independent presidential candidate Catherine Connolly leads the race with 38% support, nearly double Fine Gael's Heather Humphreys at 20%.
Jim Gavin, who has withdrawn from the campaign, holds 5%.
Connolly emphasized her canvassing commitment, stating, "Polls don’t win elections."
The Irish Times/Ipsos B&A poll shows 18% undecided, 12% will not vote, and 6% intend to spoil their ballots, with voting on October 24, 2025 amid concerns about representation.

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