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Shutdown Drives 22 States into Recession Risk, Economists Warn

10/21/2025

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Story summary
  • Moody's Analytics says the federal government shutdown, now in its fourth week, leaves 22 states in recession or at risk.
  • The downturn is linked to U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs and cuts to healthcare subsidies.
  • Maine, Oregon, and Illinois are particularly affected.
  • Leor Tal of Unrig Our Economy criticizes congressional Republicans for exacerbating the crisis.
  • Economists warn that prolonged shutdowns could raise unemployment claims and trigger cuts to SNAP.