Political Tensions Rise Ahead of Ivory Coast's Presidential Election

The upcoming presidential election in Ivory Coast, scheduled for October 25, 2025, is marked by significant political tensions and the absence of key opposition figures. Incumbent President Alassane Dramane Ouattara, 83, seeks a fourth term amid criticism and allegations of undemocratic practices. His candidacy follows a constitutional change in 2016 that allowed him to extend his rule, which began in 2011 after a violent political crisis.

Ivory Coast’s Ouattara looks to ride economic boom to fourth term

Ouattara faces four candidates: Simone Gbagbo, former first lady and leader of the leftist Movement of Capable Generations (MGC); Jean-Louis Billon, a business tycoon and former minister; Henriette Lagou Adjoua, a women's rights advocate; and Ahoua Don Mello, an independent civil engineer. Gbagbo, who is campaigning on education reform, and Billon, who emphasizes economic disparities, are both positioning themselves as alternatives to Ouattara. However, the disqualification of prominent figures like Tidjane Thiam and Laurent Gbagbo has weakened the opposition's challenge.

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Despite claims of economic growth under Ouattara's administration, with a reported 6% growth in 2024, many citizens express dissatisfaction. The poverty rate stands at 37.5%, and youth unemployment remains high. Billon has articulated the frustrations of the populace, stating, "The economy is growing, but not for us." This sentiment is echoed by local voices like Placide Konan, who highlights the struggles of ordinary citizens to make ends meet.

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The government has taken a hardline approach to dissent, deploying over 44,000 security personnel to maintain order and prevent protests. Recent demonstrations against Ouattara's candidacy resulted in over 700 arrests, with some individuals receiving prison sentences for disturbing public order. Critics argue that these measures reflect an effort to suppress opposition and maintain control over the electoral process.

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Government spokesman Adama Coulibaly defended Ouattara's record, citing infrastructure improvements and investor confidence as indicators of stability. However, opposition leaders and analysts contend that the political environment is increasingly repressive, undermining the democratic process. Political analyst Geoffroy Kouao stated, "The best way to have peaceful polls is to organize inclusive elections."

Ivory Coast’s Ouattara looks to ride economic boom to fourth term

There are discrepancies regarding the level of public support for Ouattara. While some reports suggest he remains a favorite due to economic achievements, others indicate significant discontent among voters, particularly in regions historically aligned with the opposition. The absence of major opposition candidates has also raised concerns about voter turnout and engagement.

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• “People can no longer make ends meet, Konan said.” — Placide Konan, Slam Poet

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• “I have always been committed to offering the best to our youth so that you can start businesses, work, learn and be independent.” — Alassane Ouattara, President of Ivory Coast

Associated Press

• “The state is taking preventive security measures to avoid electoral violence.” — Geoffroy Kouao, Political Analyst

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As the election approaches, the political landscape in Ivory Coast remains fraught with tension. The absence of key opposition figures and the government's stringent measures against dissent raise questions about the legitimacy of the electoral process. With a significant portion of the electorate feeling disenfranchised, the potential for unrest looms large, echoing the country's tumultuous past.

Ivory Coast’s Ouattara looks to ride economic boom to fourth term