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New Jersey Gubernatorial Race Tightens: Sherrill Leads by 1%

10/30/2025

43 3 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

Emerson College poll shows the New Jersey gubernatorial race is close, with Mikie Sherrill (D) 49% and Jack Ciattarelli (R) 48%, and Sherrill at 50% when undecideds.
Economy is the top issue for 52% of voters.
Early voting shows a Democratic edge, with 54% of early voters registered as Democrats.
Endorsements include Mikie Sherrill campaigning with Barack Obama (former U.S. president) and Jack Ciattarelli backed by U.S. President Donald Trump.

History

Historical Context

The 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election, held on November 2, saw incumbent Phil Murphy narrowly defeat Republican Jack Ciattarelli, reflecting a shift in the state's political dynamics. Historically, New Jersey has leaned Democratic, but Ciattarelli's strong performance, with 48% of the vote, indicated growing polarization and economic concerns among voters, echoing trends from the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections.

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Story summary

Emerson College poll shows the New Jersey gubernatorial race is close, with Mikie Sherrill (D) 49% and Jack Ciattarelli (R) 48%, and Sherrill at 50% when undecideds.
Economy is the top issue for 52% of voters.
Early voting shows a Democratic edge, with 54% of early voters registered as Democrats.
Endorsements include Mikie Sherrill campaigning with Barack Obama (former U.S. president) and Jack Ciattarelli backed by U.S. President Donald Trump.

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