Story perspectives

2050 Farming Scenarios: Growth vs. Environment at Stake

11/8/2025

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Summary

Story summary

Under the SSP3 scenario, by 2050, agricultural land could expand by 52 million hectares, boosting revenue by 28% but releasing 12 gigatonnes of CO2 and causing habitat loss for 70% of mammal species.
SSP1 scenario reduces food demand, leading to land restoration, a 31% revenue decline, and sequestration of 12.4 gigatonnes CO2 while expanding habitats for two-thirds of mammal species.
Strategic reforestation could provide environmental benefits with minimal economic loss.

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Story summary

Under the SSP3 scenario, by 2050, agricultural land could expand by 52 million hectares, boosting revenue by 28% but releasing 12 gigatonnes of CO2 and causing habitat loss for 70% of mammal species.
SSP1 scenario reduces food demand, leading to land restoration, a 31% revenue decline, and sequestration of 12.4 gigatonnes CO2 while expanding habitats for two-thirds of mammal species.
Strategic reforestation could provide environmental benefits with minimal economic loss.