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Government Shutdown Clouds Fed's Economic Decision-Making

11/9/2025

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Story summary
  • The ongoing U.S. government shutdown disrupted the release of critical economic data, hindering Federal Reserve policymakers from basing interest-rate decisions on timely reports.
  • Economists warn that the likelihood of receiving accurate October employment and inflation data diminishes each day.
  • The absence of this information complicates the Fed's assessment of the labor market and inflation risks and could widen divisions among officials.
  • Even if data is released retroactively, its reliability may be questioned, raising concerns about the Fed's ability to make informed decisions and investor confidence in the Treasury market.