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Full Breakdown

NFL MVP Race Heats Up in Week 10

11/16/2025, 1:57:20 PM

Current MVP Favorites

As of November 9, 2025, Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford has emerged as the leading candidate for the NFL MVP award, following a standout performance in Week 10. Stafford, in his 17th season, threw four touchdown passes against the San Francisco 49ers, bringing his total to 30 for the season. He leads the league in passing yards, averaging 280 yards per game, and has significantly improved his MVP odds, now sitting at +275 according to BetMGM.

Following Stafford is New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye, who has seen his odds rise to +300 after a solid outing against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Despite a dip in passer rating below 100 for the first time since Week 1, Maye threw for 270 yards and two touchdowns, contributing to the Patriots' victory that improved their record to 8-2 and solidified their lead in the AFC East.

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, a two-time MVP winner, ranks third in the betting odds at +500. Mahomes' position was bolstered by the Buffalo Bills' loss to the Miami Dolphins, which allowed him to surpass Josh Allen, who was previously the favorite.

Notable Performances and Stats

Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor, while not a quarterback, has also made headlines with his performance, rushing for 244 yards and three touchdowns in Week 10. His odds for MVP are +550, though the last non-quarterback to win the award was Adrian Peterson in 2012. Taylor's impressive season has positioned him as a strong candidate for Offensive Player of the Year.

Other notable players in the MVP conversation include Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills (+650), who faced setbacks in his team's loss, and Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold (+1000), who has shown promise despite a challenging Week 10.

Criticism and Opposition

While Stafford and Maye are currently leading the MVP race, some analysts argue that the MVP award should consider the overall impact on team success rather than just individual statistics. Critics point out that Maye's performance, while impressive, came against a struggling Buccaneers team, and question whether his statistics reflect true MVP caliber.

Official Statements & Responses

Matthew Stafford expressed his focus on team success over individual accolades, stating, "Winning is what matters most to me. If I can help my team get to the playoffs, that's the ultimate goal." Meanwhile, Drake Maye acknowledged the importance of his performance in the context of the Patriots' season, emphasizing, "Every game counts, and we need to keep pushing forward."

What's Next

As the NFL season progresses, the competition for the MVP award is expected to intensify, particularly as teams approach the critical Thanksgiving period. Upcoming matchups, including the Rams facing the Seahawks and the Patriots taking on the Chiefs, will be pivotal in shaping the MVP narrative as players strive to solidify their positions in the race.