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Home Sales Expected to Surge 14% by 2026

11/16/2025

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Summary

Story summary

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), projects a 14% rise in 2026 home sales after 2025 stagnation.
He cites steady job growth and mortgage rates around 6%.
The market remains uneven, with higher-end sales outperforming lower-end segments and first-time buyers at 21%.
Prices are expected to rise about 4% nationally in 2026, with the Northeast and Midwest tight and the South and West softer.

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Story summary

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), projects a 14% rise in 2026 home sales after 2025 stagnation.
He cites steady job growth and mortgage rates around 6%.
The market remains uneven, with higher-end sales outperforming lower-end segments and first-time buyers at 21%.
Prices are expected to rise about 4% nationally in 2026, with the Northeast and Midwest tight and the South and West softer.