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Kilauea Eruption Update: Recent Activity and Future Forecasts

11/17/2025, 1:23:20 PM

Current Eruptive Activity

The Kilauea volcano in Hawai‘i has been experiencing significant eruptive activity since December 23, 2024. The most recent episodes, particularly Episode 36, began on November 9, 2025, and lasted approximately five hours. During this episode, both the north and south vents produced lava fountains reaching heights of 1,200 feet (375 meters) and 750 feet (approximately 229 meters), respectively. In total, Episode 36 released about 8.1 million cubic meters (2.1 billion gallons) of lava, marking it as the episode with the highest rate of lava effusion to date. The lava covered roughly 80% of the Halema‘uma‘u crater floor, contributing to the growth of a new cone that has now risen to approximately 138 feet (42 meters) above the pre-eruption ground surface.

Recent Historical Context

The eruption has been characterized by a series of notable episodes, with Episode 34 occurring on October 1, 2025, and Episode 35 on October 17-18, 2025. Episode 34 featured lava fountains that reached 1,200 feet and expelled about 9 million cubic meters (2.4 billion gallons) of lava. Episode 35 set records for both the volume of lava erupted and the height of the fountains, with the south vent reaching 1,475 feet (450 meters).

Implications of Volcanic Activity

The ongoing eruptions have raised concerns regarding volcanic hazards, particularly the emission of volcanic gases such as sulfur dioxide, which can lead to vog—volcanic smog that affects air quality in downwind communities. The Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO) has advised residents and visitors to limit exposure to volcanic materials, which can irritate the skin, eyes, and lungs.

Official Statements & Monitoring Efforts

The HVO continues to monitor Kilauea closely, noting that signs of renewed activity suggest that Episode 37 could commence between November 21 and November 25, 2025. The Observatory has resumed sharing updates and photographs following the recent reopening of the federal government, which had paused operations for 43 days. The USGS Volcano Alert Level remains at WATCH, indicating that the situation is being closely observed.

Criticism & Opposition

While the HVO has provided regular updates, some local residents have expressed concerns about the potential health impacts of volcanic emissions and the adequacy of safety measures in place. Critics argue that more proactive communication and resources should be allocated to ensure community safety during such eruptive events.

What's Next

As Kilauea continues to show signs of activity, the HVO will maintain its monitoring efforts and provide updates on the potential for future eruptive episodes. The community is advised to stay informed through official channels as the situation develops.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “Recent episodes featured the highest lava fountains, the most volume of lava erupted, and the highest rate of lava effusion for this event,” — USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory
  • “The current eruption, which began in December 2024, has now lasted over 10 months.” — USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory
  • “ The preliminary forecast for the next high lava fountains (Episode 37) is as early as November 22.” — USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory