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Speculation Surrounds Derek Carr's Future and Potential Trade Value

11/18/2025, 2:14:38 PM

Overview of Derek Carr's Retirement and Current Status

Derek Carr, a former quarterback for the New Orleans Saints and the Las Vegas Raiders, announced his retirement in May 2025 due to a shoulder injury. Carr's decision followed extensive medical evaluations, which indicated that surgery was necessary for a full recovery, requiring up to six months of rehabilitation. He expressed gratitude for his NFL journey, stating, “For more than 11 years, we have been incredibly blessed, and we are forever grateful and humbled by this experience.” Carr's career statistics include a 77-92 record, 41,245 passing yards, and 257 touchdowns over 11 seasons.

Interest from the Cincinnati Bengals

In the wake of Joe Burrow's injury, the Cincinnati Bengals explored various quarterback options, including Carr. Reports indicate that the Bengals contacted the Saints regarding Carr's availability, recognizing that any acquisition would necessitate a trade due to Carr's retirement status with the Saints. Ultimately, the Bengals opted for Joe Flacco, but Carr's name was part of their considerations.

Potential Trade Scenarios

As speculation grows about Carr's future, discussions have emerged regarding what the Saints might receive in a trade if Carr decides to return to play in 2026. The Saints processed Carr's retirement papers on June 3, 2025, which allowed them to save $30 million against their salary cap for 2026. However, they still retain his rights, meaning any interested team would need to negotiate a trade.

Analysts suggest that if Carr is healthy and eager to play, the Saints could expect a modest return, potentially in the form of a pick swap or a combination of lower-round draft picks. Comparisons have been drawn to past trades, such as Marshawn Lynch's move to the Oakland Raiders, which involved a sixth-round pick and a fifth-round pick swap. A more realistic expectation for Carr's trade value might be a combination of fifth- and sixth-round picks, reflecting the current market for veteran players.

Criticism and Concerns

Critics argue that the Saints should focus on accumulating draft picks rather than trading them away, especially given their current roster depth issues. There is also skepticism about Carr's readiness to return, with some suggesting he may opt to sit out the 2026 season entirely and aim for a comeback in 2027 when the Saints would no longer control his rights.

Official Statements & Responses

While there have been no official statements from the Saints regarding Carr's potential trade, the ongoing speculation highlights the uncertainty surrounding his future. Carr himself has indicated a willingness to return when the time is right, though he has ruled out a 2025 comeback.

What's Next for Derek Carr?

As the offseason approaches, Carr's situation will be closely monitored. The decision on whether he will attempt a return in 2026 or wait until 2027 remains uncertain, making it a critical point of interest for both the Saints and potential suitors. The evolving narrative surrounding Carr's health and trade value will likely continue to generate discussion in the NFL community.