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Story perspectives

Texas Economy Cools as Tariffs and Shutdown Bite

11/20/2025

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Story summary
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (Dallas Fed) reports tariffs raised costs and cooled Texas' economy after summer growth.
  • Nearly half of surveyed firms reported rising input prices.
  • Policy uncertainty, low oil prices, and reduced immigration further strain the Texas economic outlook.
  • The report notes 96,000 federal employees were furloughed during a government shutdown, impacting economic activity.
  • One-third of firms expect a boost from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act's tax provisions.