Story perspectives

Trump's Texas Wins Signal Competitive 2026 Midterms Ahead

11/21/2025

Summary

Story summary

U.S. President Donald Trump won TX-15 and TX-34, making two Texas House districts competitive ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted the districts’ ratings, signaling increased competitiveness.
Polls show Trump’s approval among Hispanic voters has fallen to 25% from 44%, especially among men.
The Texas Supreme Court will review the state's redistricting map, with TX-15 classified as Likely Republican and TX-34 as Lean Republican.

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Story summary

U.S. President Donald Trump won TX-15 and TX-34, making two Texas House districts competitive ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted the districts’ ratings, signaling increased competitiveness.
Polls show Trump’s approval among Hispanic voters has fallen to 25% from 44%, especially among men.
The Texas Supreme Court will review the state's redistricting map, with TX-15 classified as Likely Republican and TX-34 as Lean Republican.