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Story perspectives

Truckload Rates Decline Amid Freight Volume Challenges

11/21/2025

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Story summary
  • RXO's Curve forecast shows truckload rate growth continuing to decline, with 1.8% year-over-year in Q3 2025, down from 6.5% in Q2 2025.
  • Ongoing challenges include muted freight volumes and significant cost pressures on carriers.
  • Regulatory changes affecting non-domiciled CDL holders could further limit capacity.
  • Spot rates have rebounded but have not consistently surpassed contract rates, signaling a limited upswing.