Full Breakdown
Decline in Thanksgiving Dinner Costs for 2025
11/22/2025, 10:15:58 PM
Overview of Thanksgiving Dinner Costs
The American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) has reported a 5% decrease in the average cost of a traditional Thanksgiving dinner for 2025, marking the third consecutive year of price declines. The average cost for a meal serving ten people is now $55.18, down from $58.50 in 2024. This year's survey highlights the price of a 16-pound frozen turkey at $21.50, reflecting a significant drop of over 16% from the previous year.
Key Price Changes
The AFBF's annual survey, which has been conducted since 1986, includes a standard menu of Thanksgiving staples. This year, several items saw price reductions:
- Turkey (16 pounds): $21.50 (down 16.3%)
- Dinner rolls (12 count): $3.56 (down 14.6%)
- Stuffing mix (14 ounces): $3.71 (down 9%)
- Cranberries (12 ounces): $2.28 (down 2.8%)
Conversely, some items experienced notable price increases:
- Sweet potatoes (3 pounds): $4.00 (up 37%)
- Veggie tray (1 pound): $1.36 (up 61.3%)
These fluctuations are attributed to various factors, including weather-related crop damage and ongoing labor shortages in the agricultural sector.
Regional Price Variations
The cost of Thanksgiving dinners varies significantly across the United States. For instance, the average cost in the West is $61.75, while the South enjoys the lowest average at $50.01. The Northeast and Midwest also report higher averages at $60.82 and $54.38, respectively.
Economic Context and Implications
Despite the overall decline in Thanksgiving dinner costs, the AFBF president, Zippy Duvall, noted that food prices remain a concern for many families, particularly in rural areas. The loss of approximately 15,000 family farms over the past year due to low crop prices and high supply costs has intensified these concerns. The ongoing economic challenges, including inflation and rising living costs, continue to affect food affordability.
Official Statements & Responses
In response to the survey findings, AFBF economist Faith Parum stated, “It’s encouraging to see some relief in the price of turkeys, as it is typically the most expensive part of the meal.” However, she acknowledged that farmers are still recovering from the impacts of avian influenza on turkey flocks and that overall demand has decreased.
Criticism & Opposition
While many consumers may welcome the lower prices, some critics argue that the reductions do not fully address the underlying issues of food insecurity exacerbated by recent government policies and economic conditions. The ongoing debate about the adequacy of food assistance programs, particularly following the recent government shutdown, highlights the persistent challenges faced by low-income families.
What's Next
As Thanksgiving approaches, many families are exploring budget-friendly meal options. Retailers like Walmart and Aldi are offering meal bundles designed to serve large groups at lower prices, making it easier for families to celebrate without overspending. The AFBF's survey results will likely influence consumer shopping behaviors as families seek to balance tradition with economic realities.
Verbatim Quotes
- “It’s encouraging to see some relief in the price of turkeys, as it is typically the most expensive part of the meal,” — Faith Parum, AFBF Economist
- “Despite modest declines in the cost of a Thanksgiving meal, I know food prices are a real concern for many families, including in rural America,” — Zippy Duvall, AFBF President
This year's Thanksgiving dinner cost analysis reflects a complex interplay of market forces, regional disparities, and ongoing economic challenges, underscoring the importance of accessible and affordable food for all families during the holiday season.
