Full Breakdown
Nolan Arenado's Potential Trade: Analyzing the Landscape
11/24/2025, 2:01:16 PM
Core Narrative: The Likelihood of Nolan Arenado's Trade
Nolan Arenado, a prominent third baseman for the St. Louis Cardinals, is anticipated to be traded this winter as both he and the organization signal a desire for a change. Cardinals president of baseball operations Chaim Bloom has indicated that it may be best for both parties to seek a different fit, suggesting that a trade is likely.
Current Performance and Contract Situation
Arenado, who will turn 35 in April, has experienced a decline in performance, finishing the 2025 season with a batting average of .237 and an OPS+ of 87, marking his weakest full-season performance since his rookie year in 2013. He is under contract for two more seasons, owed $37 million, which is manageable for a player still regarded as a competent defender at third base, albeit not at his peak level. His declining hard-hit rate, dropping from the 75th percentile a decade ago to the 12th percentile in recent years, raises questions about his future contributions.
Potential Trade Destinations
Several teams could be potential fits for Arenado, although many are already well-stocked at third base or may be hesitant to make moves until assessing other free agents. The Oakland Athletics, who finished 76-86 in 2025, could benefit from Arenado's veteran presence, especially given their young lineup and a significant gap at third base. The Pittsburgh Pirates, despite finishing 71-91, are actively seeking to improve their offense and could consider Arenado as a valuable addition.
Conversely, teams like the Philadelphia Phillies may also be in the market for a third baseman, particularly if incumbent Alec Bohm becomes available. The Phillies are expected to be active in the offseason, potentially reshaping their roster after consecutive postseason exits.
Criticism & Opposition
Critics of a potential trade for Arenado may point to his declining performance and age, questioning whether he can still be a significant contributor to a contending team. Additionally, the presence of other third basemen in the trade market, such as Bohm, complicates the situation, as teams may opt for younger or more productive options.
Official Statements & Responses
While there have been no formal statements from Arenado regarding his willingness to accept a trade, he has suggested a readiness to be less selective with his no-trade clause compared to previous seasons. This openness could facilitate a move, although it remains contingent on finding a suitable destination.
Conflicting Reports & Gaps
There is uncertainty regarding the exact teams that may pursue Arenado, as many contenders are already set at third base or are waiting to see how the free-agent market unfolds. The dynamics of the trade market could shift significantly based on the decisions of other teams regarding their own rosters.
What's Next: The Trade Market Outlook
As the offseason progresses, the landscape for Arenado's potential trade will become clearer. Teams will assess their needs and the availability of other players, which could ultimately determine whether Arenado finds a new home or remains with the Cardinals for another season.
