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JD Vance Leads Republican Primary Polling in New Hampshire

11/26/2025, 3:01:57 AM

Overview of the Polling Landscape

A recent Saint Anselm College poll conducted from November 18 to 19 reveals that Vice President JD Vance is leading the early 2028 Republican presidential primary field with significant support. The poll, which has a margin of error of ±2.1 percent, indicates that Vance commands 57 percent of likely Republican voters in New Hampshire, placing him well ahead of his nearest competitors.

Key Competitors and Their Standing

Following Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis are trailing with 9 percent and 7 percent support, respectively. A second tier of candidates, including Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, and Tulsi Gabbard, each garnered 4 percent, while Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin received just 1 percent each. The poll's findings suggest a clear delineation between Vance and the rest of the field, highlighting his dominant position.

Implications for Other Candidates

Reports indicate that Rubio may not enter the race if Vance decides to run, as he has expressed intentions to support Vance fully, potentially even as a running mate. This sentiment was echoed by former President Donald Trump, who remarked that a Vance-Rubio ticket would be “unstoppable.” Such dynamics could significantly reshape the Republican primary landscape, consolidating support around Vance.

Vance's Role in the Republican Party

JD Vance's influence extends beyond his role as vice president; he also serves as the Finance Chairman of the Republican National Committee (RNC). Under his leadership, the RNC has raised over $86 million in cash on hand as of mid-November, a record that RNC Chairman Joe Gruters attributes to Vance's strategic efforts in voter turnout and fundraising. This dual role positions Vance as a central figure in the Republican Party's strategy leading into the 2026 midterm elections.

Official Statements & Responses

RNC Chairman Joe Gruters highlighted Vance's contributions, stating that his leadership has been instrumental in the party's aggressive push for voter engagement and financial support. The poll's timing coincided with Vance's participation in a live policy discussion hosted by Breitbart News, where he reviewed the accomplishments of the Trump-Vance administration and outlined future goals.

Criticism & Opposition

While Vance's polling numbers are strong, there are dissenting voices within the party. Some Republican strategists express concern over Vance's ability to appeal to a broader electorate, particularly in a general election scenario. Critics argue that his close association with Trump could alienate moderate voters.

What's Next

As the Republican primary season approaches, the dynamics surrounding JD Vance's candidacy will continue to evolve. Observers will be closely monitoring potential announcements from other candidates and any shifts in voter sentiment as the party prepares for the 2028 election cycle.