Full Breakdown
Colder and Drier Thanksgiving Forecast for Memphis
11/26/2025, 3:44:00 AM
Overview of Thanksgiving Weather in Memphis
Memphis is bracing for a colder and drier Thanksgiving week due to an Arctic blast affecting much of the United States. The National Weather Service forecasts that temperatures on Thanksgiving Day, November 27, 2025, will reach a high of around 50 to 52 degrees Fahrenheit, significantly cooler than the average high of 58 degrees for this date. The colder weather is expected to begin around November 25 and persist through the end of the month, with temperatures approximately 15 degrees lower than the month's average of 68.2 degrees.
Temperature Predictions and Conditions
The forecast indicates that Thanksgiving Day will feature partly sunny skies with low temperatures dropping to around 34 to 36 degrees. The preceding days will see similar cool conditions, with highs on November 26 expected to be around 50 degrees. Rain is not anticipated on Thanksgiving, but a slight chance of precipitation is expected on Black Friday, November 28, with temperatures remaining in the low 50s.
Historical Weather Context
In comparison to previous years, Thanksgiving 2025 is projected to be colder. For instance, in 2024, the high was 59 degrees with no rainfall, while in 2023, the high was 59 degrees, and in 2022, it was 59 degrees with a quarter-inch of rain. The historical data shows that Thanksgiving temperatures in Memphis typically range from highs of 57 to 58 degrees and lows of 39 to 40 degrees.
Official Statements & Responses
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has indicated that Tennessee has a 50-60% chance of experiencing below-normal temperatures from November 26 to 30. The Climate Prediction Center has noted that the colder conditions are expected to be more pronounced as the week progresses.
Criticism & Opposition
While the colder weather may be welcomed by some, there are concerns regarding the impact on travel plans during the Thanksgiving holiday. With millions traveling, the potential for colder temperatures and the associated discomfort could affect travel experiences, particularly for those unaccustomed to such weather.
What's Next
Looking ahead, the weather is expected to remain clear and dry through Thanksgiving, but rain chances are projected to return over the weekend, which could complicate travel for those returning home after the holiday.
Verbatim Quotes
- “This year, Thanksgiving is expected to be slightly colder and drier than what is typical for Nov.” — National Weather Service
- “The colder weather in Memphis is due to an Arctic blast affecting most of the country this coming week.” — Climate Prediction Center
- “Friday, November 28 Temperatures will drop even further on Friday, with morning lows in the 20s and 30s.” — Local Weather Forecast
