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Japan's GDP Growth Threatened by Rising China Tensions

11/28/2025

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Story summary
  • Rising tensions between Japan and China could reduce Japan's GDP growth by 0.2 points, Goldman Sachs says.
  • They predict declines in tourism and consumer goods exports due to strained relations.
  • Tourist losses from China and Hong Kong could drive the decline, offset by others' visits.
  • Export restrictions could add another -0.1 percentage point.
  • The escalation followed Prime Minister Takaichi's warning about Taiwan.