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Live Map Manipulation Sparks Concerns Over Ukraine War Betting

12/2/2025

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Summary

Story summary

A live map tracking the war in Ukraine was altered on November 15 to show a fake Russian advance on Myrnohrad, coinciding with a Polymarket bet resolution.
The map is maintained by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
After the bet resolution, the map's red shading indicating Russian control disappeared, raising concerns about potential manipulation.
Polymarket has not commented on the situation.

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Story summary

A live map tracking the war in Ukraine was altered on November 15 to show a fake Russian advance on Myrnohrad, coinciding with a Polymarket bet resolution.
The map is maintained by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
After the bet resolution, the map's red shading indicating Russian control disappeared, raising concerns about potential manipulation.
Polymarket has not commented on the situation.