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Study Predicts Gaza Deaths Could Exceed 100,000 by 2025

12/3/2025

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Summary

Story summary

A study by the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research and the Centre for Demographic Studies estimates 78,318 Gaza deaths from Oct 7, 2023, to Dec 31, 2024.
The death toll could exceed 100,000 by October 2025.
Life expectancy in Gaza fell 44% in 2023 and 47% in 2024 from pre-war levels.
The study used a statistical model to address data uncertainties.

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Story summary

A study by the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research and the Centre for Demographic Studies estimates 78,318 Gaza deaths from Oct 7, 2023, to Dec 31, 2024.
The death toll could exceed 100,000 by October 2025.
Life expectancy in Gaza fell 44% in 2023 and 47% in 2024 from pre-war levels.
The study used a statistical model to address data uncertainties.