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Jay Clayton Warns of Rising Scrutiny in Prediction Markets

12/4/2025

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Story summary
  • Jay Clayton, former chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, discussed the rapid growth of prediction markets.
  • He emphasized understanding the function these markets serve.
  • In the United States, prediction-market contracts are classified as derivatives under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
  • Polymarket returned to the U.S. after receiving a new license.
  • Clayton warned that regulatory scrutiny will rise as investments from major firms like Intercontinental Exchange Inc. grow.