Gavin Newsom's Rising Profile in the 2028 Presidential Race

California Governor Gavin Newsom's prospects for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 have notably improved, as indicated by recent polling data from Emerson College. The poll, conducted from December 1 to 2, shows that 36% of likely Democratic primary voters would support Newsom, a significant increase from 23% in August. Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg follows with 16%, while New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and former Vice President Kamala Harris garner 13% and 9%, respectively. The poll surveyed 567 likely primary voters and has a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.

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Although Newsom has not officially declared his candidacy, he has hinted at a potential run, stating he would make a decision after the 2026 midterm elections. His recent speeches, which have criticized the Trump administration, and his social media engagement have contributed to his rising profile. Newsom has emphasized the need for the Democratic Party to adopt a moderate approach, particularly regarding economic issues and immigration policy.

Newsweek

The outcome of the Democratic primary is crucial, as the winner will shape the party's agenda and address internal divisions between moderates and progressives. Newsom's leadership could be pivotal in unifying the party ahead of the 2028 general election against the Republicans.

Newsweek

As Newsom prepares to step down in January 2027 after serving two terms, the race to succeed him is intensifying. Former Representative Katie Porter is currently struggling in the polls, with only 11% support, down from earlier leads. Her campaign has faced challenges due to negative perceptions stemming from her behavior in interviews, which have raised questions about her suitability as a candidate. In contrast, California Representative Eric Swalwell, who recently entered the race, is polling closely behind Porter with 12% support among Democrats.

New York Post

Porter's image has suffered due to incidents captured on video, including a confrontation with a CBS News reporter and a public outburst towards a staffer. These moments have contributed to a perception of her as a divisive figure, with only 30% of voters viewing her favorably compared to 34% unfavorably. The crowded primary field also includes other candidates such as former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa and billionaire Tom Steyer, both polling at 4%.

New York Post

Gavin Newsom remarked on his potential candidacy, stating, “Yeah, I’d be lying otherwise,” when asked if he would consider running for president. His comments reflect a growing acknowledgment of his position within the party and the increasing likelihood of a presidential bid.

Newsweek

As the Democratic primary approaches in June 2024, the dynamics of the race will continue to evolve. With a significant portion of voters still undecided, the upcoming months will be critical for candidates like Newsom, Porter, and Swalwell as they seek to solidify their support ahead of the election.

The Hill