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Gaza Ceasefire at a Critical Juncture: Challenges Ahead

12/7/2025, 2:08:54 AM

Current Status of the Ceasefire

The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, which began on October 10, 2023, is at a "critical moment," according to Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani. As the first phase of U.S. President Donald Trump's 20-point peace plan concludes, only one Israeli hostage's remains are still held by militants in Gaza. Al Thani emphasized that the current situation cannot be considered a true ceasefire until there is a complete withdrawal of Israeli forces and stability in Gaza, allowing for free movement of people and goods. He stated, “What we have just done is a pause. We cannot consider it yet a ceasefire.”

The Next Phase of the Peace Plan

The next phase of the peace plan includes the establishment of an international security force (ISF), the formation of a technocratic Palestinian government, and the disarmament of Hamas. However, significant hurdles remain. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan raised concerns about the composition and mission of the ISF, noting that many countries are hesitant to participate due to fears of conflict with Hamas. Israel has explicitly rejected Turkish involvement, complicating the formation of the force.

Humanitarian Concerns and Ongoing Violence

Despite the ceasefire, violence has not ceased entirely. Reports indicate that Israeli military operations have continued, resulting in over 70,000 deaths in Gaza, primarily among women and children, according to the Hamas-run health ministry. The United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) has expressed concerns about its exclusion from discussions regarding the future governance of Gaza, despite its critical role in providing humanitarian aid.

Criticism and Opposition

Critics argue that the ceasefire is merely a façade, with ongoing Israeli military actions undermining the peace process. Some sources claim that Israel has violated the ceasefire agreement hundreds of times since its inception. Palestinian officials and international observers have called for immediate deployment of the ISF to monitor compliance and prevent further violence.

Official Statements and Responses

Egypt's Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty has called for the rapid deployment of the ISF, emphasizing that the ceasefire cannot hold without international oversight. He stated, “One party, which is Israel, is every day violating the ceasefire.” Meanwhile, the Qatari Prime Minister reiterated the need for a comprehensive solution that addresses the root causes of the conflict, advocating for the eventual establishment of a Palestinian state.

Conflicting Reports and Gaps

There are conflicting reports regarding the status of the last Israeli hostage, Sgt. Ran Gvili. While some sources indicate that his remains are in Gaza, others suggest that Hamas has not made sufficient efforts to recover them. This discrepancy complicates negotiations for moving to the next phase of the peace plan.

What's Next?

The U.S. administration aims to announce the transition to the second phase of the peace plan by the end of the year, contingent upon the resolution of the hostage situation and the establishment of the ISF. However, the timeline remains uncertain as negotiations continue among the involved parties.

Conclusion

As the ceasefire enters a precarious phase, the international community watches closely. The success of the next steps in the peace process hinges on cooperation among Israel, Hamas, and the mediating nations, particularly in addressing the complex issues surrounding governance, security, and humanitarian aid in Gaza.