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Yale Poll: Newsom Leads 2028 Democratic Race, Vance Dominates GOP

12/8/2025

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Story summary
  • The Yale Youth Poll finds California Governor Gavin Newsom leading Democratic presidential preference for the 2028 election with 25%.
  • Former Vice President Kamala Harris receives 18% support from Democratic respondents.
  • Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez receives 16% support from Democratic respondents.
  • Newsom appeals to white, male, and Hispanic voters.
  • In the Republican race, JD Vance leads with 51%, followed by U.S. President Donald Trump at 8% and Ron DeSantis at 6%.