Story perspectives

One Nation Soars to 17% Amid Voter Uncertainty

12/10/2025

39 4

Summary

Story summary

One Nation achieved a record 17% support in the latest Guardian Essential Poll, influenced by Pauline Hanson’s burqa stunt and Barnaby Joyce’s defection.
Labor leads with 34% support, while the Coalition has 26%.
Voter sentiment is divided on Joyce's impact, with 31% more likely to support One Nation and 42% less likely.
The poll indicates 60% of voters feel uncertain about managing living expenses, and 74% expect grocery prices to rise in 2026.
The Reserve Bank held the cash rate at 3.6%, hinting at possible increases next year.

1 of 1

Story summary

One Nation achieved a record 17% support in the latest Guardian Essential Poll, influenced by Pauline Hanson’s burqa stunt and Barnaby Joyce’s defection.
Labor leads with 34% support, while the Coalition has 26%.
Voter sentiment is divided on Joyce's impact, with 31% more likely to support One Nation and 42% less likely.
The poll indicates 60% of voters feel uncertain about managing living expenses, and 74% expect grocery prices to rise in 2026.
The Reserve Bank held the cash rate at 3.6%, hinting at possible increases next year.