Story perspectives

2026: Rising Tensions Between Beijing and Washington Predicted

12/11/2025

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Summary

Story summary

In 2026, the Asia Society predicts tension between Beijing and Washington as China balances growth with control.
Lizzi Lee, co-author from the Asia Society, says the situation is complex and defined by transitions and trade-offs.
The report says stability will come from recognizing that each side can inflict economic harm.
Both nations aim to undermine each other’s advantages in rare earth minerals and advanced semiconductors, limiting political space for compromise due to persistent mutual suspicion.

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Story summary

In 2026, the Asia Society predicts tension between Beijing and Washington as China balances growth with control.
Lizzi Lee, co-author from the Asia Society, says the situation is complex and defined by transitions and trade-offs.
The report says stability will come from recognizing that each side can inflict economic harm.
Both nations aim to undermine each other’s advantages in rare earth minerals and advanced semiconductors, limiting political space for compromise due to persistent mutual suspicion.