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Escalating Conflict in Sudan: The Struggle for Kordofan and Its Humanitarian Impact

12/11/2025, 1:57:42 AM

Overview of the Conflict

Since April 2023, Sudan has been embroiled in a brutal conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), which has escalated significantly in recent months. The RSF's recent seizure of El Fasher, the capital of North Darfur, and its ongoing military operations in the Kordofan region have raised alarms about the humanitarian crisis unfolding in the country. The conflict has resulted in widespread atrocities, including killings, sexual violence, and forced recruitment, with over 30 million people now in need of humanitarian assistance.

Key Developments in Kordofan

The RSF has shifted its focus to the resource-rich Kordofan region, capturing Bara city in North Kordofan on October 25, 2025. The RSF's recent takeover of the Heglig oil field, Sudan's largest, further underscores the strategic importance of this area. This facility is crucial not only for Sudan but also for South Sudan, as it processes nearly all of Juba's oil exports. Following the RSF's advance, the Sudanese army has been forced to withdraw to protect oil facilities, leading to a significant disruption in oil production and revenue.

Humanitarian Crisis and Civilian Impact

The ongoing violence has led to at least 269 documented civilian deaths due to aerial strikes and artillery shelling, with many more likely unreported due to communication breakdowns. The UN has expressed grave concerns about the humanitarian situation, particularly in towns like Kadugli and Dilling, which are under siege and facing famine conditions. Humanitarian organizations have condemned the violence, stating that it restricts access to essential supplies and exacerbates the risk of famine.

Official Statements and Responses

UN Secretary-General António Guterres has called for immediate action from influential states to halt the fighting and stop arms flows to the warring parties. He emphasized the need for the international community to prevent Kordofan from experiencing a humanitarian disaster similar to that of El Fasher. In a joint statement, humanitarian agencies condemned the escalating violence and urged for unimpeded access to affected populations.

Criticism and Opposition

Critics have highlighted the failure of both the SAF and RSF to protect civilians and uphold human rights during the conflict. Javid Abdelmoneim, president of Doctors Without Borders, has called for both sides to allow humanitarian workers the freedom and protection necessary to assist those in need. The ongoing violence and humanitarian neglect have drawn condemnation from various international organizations, emphasizing the urgent need for a ceasefire.

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

There are discrepancies regarding the exact number of civilian casualties, with some reports indicating that the toll may be significantly higher than the documented figures due to communication challenges. Additionally, the extent of the humanitarian crisis is difficult to assess fully, as access to affected areas remains severely restricted.

What's Next?

The situation in Sudan remains precarious, with the RSF and its allies poised to capture more territory in Kordofan. The international community faces mounting pressure to intervene and facilitate humanitarian access, as the conflict continues to evolve and threaten the lives of millions.