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Lower Tobacco Excise Risks Worsening Illegal Sales, Study Warns

12/11/2025

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Story summary
  • The e61 Institute finds reducing tobacco excise may not lure smokers back to legal cigarettes.
  • The research suggests lower excise could worsen the budget deficit from illicit tobacco.
  • Australia’s tobacco excise revenue fell from $16.3 billion in 2019-20 to $7.8 billion, with illegal sales accounting for about 25% of all cigarette sales.
  • NSW Premier Chris Minns says high excise rates fuel illegal tobacco and urges a policy review.