Full Breakdown
Newsom and Harris: A Potential Collision Course for the 2028 Presidential Race
12/12/2025, 10:36:29 PM
Complex Relationship Between Newsom and Harris
California Governor Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris have maintained a complicated relationship, often described as “frenemies.” Both have shared advisers and fundraisers throughout their careers while strategically avoiding direct competition. Their paths have crossed in various roles—Harris as a district attorney when Newsom was mayor of San Francisco, and later as attorney general while he served as lieutenant governor. With Harris emerging as a presidential candidate for the 2024 election following President Joe Biden's withdrawal, Newsom's long-held presidential ambitions may soon lead to a direct contest between the two in the 2028 race.
Current Political Landscape
As the 2028 presidential race approaches, both Newsom and Harris are positioning themselves for potential bids. Newsom has expressed interest in running but has indicated he will not make an official announcement until after leaving office in January 2027. Harris, while noncommittal, has taken steps typical of a candidate, such as establishing a political action committee named “Fight for the People” and engaging with newly elected officials. Polling data indicates that 45% of California voters are enthusiastic about Newsom's potential candidacy, compared to 36% for Harris.
Tensions and Public Perceptions
Despite their mutual support, tensions have surfaced publicly. In her book "107 Days," Harris recounted a missed call from Newsom during a critical moment in her campaign, which he later downplayed. Political consultants suggest that if both decide to run, it could create a dilemma for their shared advisers and donors, who may feel torn between the two prominent Democrats. Some insiders believe that Harris's past struggles in her presidential campaign may hinder her chances against Newsom, who is currently viewed as the frontrunner among California Democrats.
Newsom's Vulnerabilities
While Newsom enjoys a favorable image among Democrats, he faces significant challenges that could derail his presidential ambitions. California's economic issues, including a high cost of living and rising homelessness, have drawn scrutiny. The state ranks last in affordability and has seen a significant increase in its homeless population despite substantial spending on related programs. Additionally, California's job market has suffered, with over 170,000 job cuts announced this year, particularly in the tech sector, raising concerns about the state's economic stability.
Official Statements & Responses
Harris has acknowledged Newsom's talents, stating, “I think Gavin is very talented. I really do,” while also emphasizing the importance of keeping options open for future runs. Newsom, reflecting on their relationship, noted, “That’s the relationship,” highlighting the competitive yet respectful dynamic they share.
Criticism & Opposition
Critics argue that Newsom's record in California, particularly regarding homelessness and economic management, could be detrimental to his presidential aspirations. Some Democratic strategists express concern that perceptions of him as too far-left on issues like immigration and crime may alienate swing voters in key states.
What's Next
As both Newsom and Harris navigate their potential candidacies, the political landscape will continue to evolve. Their decisions in the coming years will not only shape their futures but also the broader Democratic strategy leading into the 2028 election. The dynamics between these two prominent figures will be closely watched as they prepare for a possible showdown.
